Varnsdorf vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HFK
3 - 2
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 0
BOH
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
SLO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SLO
4 - 0
MOS
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOK
1 - 0
SLO
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 0
FCV
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOH
5 - 1
KAR
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 1
ZNO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 1
ZLI
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
2 - 2
KAR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |