Varnsdorf vs Chrudim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
14º
8º
18
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 54 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 26 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 21% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
VYS
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIS
1 - 0
SLO
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 3
SLO
10%
16%
74%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chrudim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 2
CHR
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VYS
1 - 0
CHR
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
6 - 1
BOI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
0 - 1
CHR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |