UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Slovan Liberec vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 1
SLI
39%
28%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
MBO
4 - 0
SLI
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
SLI
2 - 0
TEP
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLI
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SLI
2 - 2
ZLI
71%
20%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 1
SLI
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ZES
2 - 0
TOB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
3 - 0
ZES
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |