Slovan Liberec vs Pardubice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
9º
6
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 58 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
22.5% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
48.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TEP
2 - 1
SLI
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 1
SLP
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 1
SIG
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
SLI
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 1
PUS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
SLO
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 3
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
KAR
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
MLE
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |