Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 2-0
Slovan Liberec vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
1 - 1
SLI
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
SLI
1 - 1
DUK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
IKS
0 - 3
SLI
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SLP
2 - 2
SLI
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SLI
2 - 1
IKS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HKS
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 2
HKS
30%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
STR
0 - 2
HKS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 2
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
2 - 0
STR
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |