Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 4-0
Slovan Liberec vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
0 - 0
ZBR
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 1
SLI
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZLI
2 - 1
SLI
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
1 - 1
VJI
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 0
AWM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 1
SLI
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 0
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 3
AEK
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |