Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Slovan Bratislava vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SEN
0 - 3
SBR
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
SBR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SBR
3 - 0
ZEM
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
SBR
2 - 1
FER
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FKP
1 - 3
SBR
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
QAR
3 - 0
DUN
39%
26%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
STP
0 - 1
DUN
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 1
QAR
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |