UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-5
Sloboda Tuzla vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
KAA
1 - 1
SLO
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
KAA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 5
SLO
13%
24%
63%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
SLO
4 - 2
RUD
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ZEP
1 - 0
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
LIE
4 - 1
FCE
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FCE
0 - 3
LIE
49%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
1 - 2
LIE
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 1
LOK
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
STR
2 - 1
LIE
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |