Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Sloboda Tuzla vs Beitar Jerusalem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
RAD
3 - 0
SLO
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZRI
2 - 1
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAD
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SLO
4 - 0
SAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 3
SLO
28%
30%
42%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar Jerusalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 1
DVT
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
HAP
1 - 2
BEI
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 2
MTA
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
HBS
2 - 0
BEI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 3
BSA
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |