Sligo Rovers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
8º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sligo Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 0
SLR
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 3
SHE
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 1
DUN
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
SLR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 1
SLR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
76%
16%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BOH
0 - 1
DER
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
18%
26%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |