Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Sliema Wanderers vs Khazar Lankaran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SLI
4 - 1
MOS
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 4
SLI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 3
HIB
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 2
VAL
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
SLI
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2013 |
FKN
0 - 0
KHA
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 2
REV
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
SUM
1 - 0
KHA
25%
27%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 0
TUR
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
KHA
1 - 0
FCK
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |