Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Sliema Wanderers vs FC Reipas Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1973 |
LPL
1 - 0
SLI
81%
11%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SLI
0 - 2
LPL
27%
22%
51%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
GÓR
5 - 0
SLI
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SLI
0 - 5
GÓR
31%
23%
46%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
SLI
1 - 2
CEL
11%
17%
72%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
LYO
2 - 0
FCR
85%
9%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FCR
0 - 0
LYO
21%
19%
60%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
GCZ
8 - 0
FCR
80%
12%
8%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
FCR
1 - 1
GCZ
26%
21%
53%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
TNV
7 - 1
FCR
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |