Qualif. Champions Final
Global 1-6
Sliema Wanderers vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
SLI
1 - 0
PAN
38%
22%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
PAN
4 - 1
SLI
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
DBU
5 - 0
SLI
74%
14%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
SLI
0 - 2
DBU
40%
22%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1963 |
BOU
2 - 0
SLI
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 15 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 1
LSO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
BVR
4 - 0
CSK
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
DOB
1 - 0
CSK
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
CSK
4 - 2
CVA
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
MAR
2 - 3
CSK
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |