Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Slavija vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
AAB
0 - 0
SLA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 0
SLO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BBL
1 - 1
SLA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SLO
2 - 0
SLA
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
AAB
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
AAB
0 - 0
SLA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 2
AAB
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 1
SON
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
AAB
0 - 1
FCK
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |