Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Slavia Sofia vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
MAR
4 - 2
SSO
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
SSO
1 - 1
FKM
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
OFK
3 - 3
SSO
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
SSO
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
CHB
1 - 0
SSO
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
SZO
3 - 2
WAR
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
WAR
4 - 0
SLA
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
GÓR
1 - 1
WAR
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
WAR
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
LKS
1 - 2
WAR
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |