Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
CHB
2 - 0
SSO
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
SSO
3 - 0
LYU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ETA
1 - 1
SSO
17%
26%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SSO
0 - 0
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 0
SSO
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
LUD
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
6 - 1
EVR
91%
7%
2%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BVR
0 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LPL
2 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |