Slavia Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
13º
10º
11
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 66 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 14.5% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
60% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSO
3 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 1
SSO
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FLK
1 - 0
SSO
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
CSK
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
HEB
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
5 - 1
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 0
FLK
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |