UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
NK Slaven Belupo vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
KIV
1 - 0
SLA
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLA
37%
30%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLA
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
SLA
5 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLA
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASH
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
ASH
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |