UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
NK Slaven Belupo vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
VLZ
1 - 0
SLA
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SLA
2 - 0
VLZ
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SLA
3 - 0
HIB
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
HIB
2 - 1
SLA
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
SLA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
TNV
2 - 1
SLO
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
DVS
4 - 1
TNV
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
TNV
3 - 0
DVS
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
TNV
3 - 1
TRE
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 0
TNV
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |