UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
NK Slaven Belupo vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
BAS
0 - 1
SLA
63%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
SLA
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
SLA
7 - 0
ANO
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
ANO
0 - 2
SLA
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
DZG
6 - 2
SLA
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
ASV
3 - 2
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
TOT
0 - 0
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ASV
0 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CHA
3 - 3
ASV
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |