Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-1
NK Slaven Belupo vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HKS
3 - 1
SLA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SLA
2 - 0
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 0
SLA
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NKV
2 - 3
SLA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SLA
2 - 1
ZAD
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 0
SLA
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 2
OLP
17%
20%
63%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
ARI
3 - 3
PAN
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
PAN
3 - 1
ARI
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |