SKRA Częstochowa vs Hutnik Krakow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
13º
18º
17º
16
7º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 69 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 58 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 55 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
82.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SKR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 3
SKR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 1
SKR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 2
STO
37%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 1
SKO
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MGJ
5 - 0
HUT
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
6 - 2
LWJ
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 2
GAR
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GKS
1 - 3
HUT
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |