SKRA Częstochowa vs Jastrzębie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
17º
16º
16
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
POD
3 - 0
SKR
64%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
0 - 2
PGM
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
SKR
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
SKR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 4
HUT
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 0
SKO
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POD
1 - 1
MGJ
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |