SKN St. Polten vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 2
SKN
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 0
SKN
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
SKN
0 - 2
WAC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
SKN
71%
17%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SKN
6 - 2
WAC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 5
WAC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
VIE
4 - 2
LUS
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAS
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 0
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 4
ALT
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |