SKN St. Polten vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 1
SKN
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SKN
3 - 3
WIE
65%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
SKN
0 - 1
NEU
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
FCW
2 - 2
SKN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SKN
0 - 0
KRE
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 2
FCW
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
KRE
2 - 0
BAU
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 1
ZWE
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
VIE
3 - 1
BAU
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
TFW
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |