SKN St. Polten vs SKU Amstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
10º
16º
10º
10
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 69 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 46 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 45 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 38 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 34 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SKN
0 - 0
SCA
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAC
2 - 0
SKN
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 3
SKN
15%
19%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAS
2 - 0
SKN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 0
SKN
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SKU Amstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 0
SVS
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VOI
1 - 2
AMS
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 4
AMS
16%
18%
67%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 2
LLI
76%
15%
10%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |