Skive vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
7º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FA2
1 - 0
SKI
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
ROS
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AKA
0 - 0
SKI
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 2
LFA
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
SKI
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
AKA
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
HEL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 3
THI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THI
1 - 0
FA2
35%
25%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AKA
2 - 1
THI
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |