Skive vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
5º
9
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
5 - 0
FCH
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 2
SKI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
4 - 0
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 1
SKI
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
GFD
0 - 5
SKI
10%
16%
75%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 2
MID
28%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IIF
2 - 2
NAE
43%
24%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
NAE
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 1
NAE
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 3
HEL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |