KF Shkëndija vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
2º
1º
4
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 55.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JEN
0 - 5
SHK
4%
11%
85%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
SHK
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
15%
21%
63%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
GOR
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
VOK
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |