KF Shkëndija vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
SHK
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SHK
3 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SHK
4 - 0
REN
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 4
SHK
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SHK
1 - 0
RAB
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
RAB
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
11O
0 - 1
VAR
30%
30%
40%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |