KF Shkëndija vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 1
VOK
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
3 - 2
SHK
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
55%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
AKP
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 2
GOS
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 1
TIK
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 1
TIK
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
TIK
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |