Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-4
KF Shkëndija vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
VOR
1 - 3
SHK
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
SHK
0 - 3
PEL
69%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHK
4 - 0
PEL
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
REN
0 - 3
SHK
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SHK
3 - 1
FKS
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 0
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 4
TNS
19%
23%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -9 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +9 |