KF Shkëndija vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
2º
1º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
RAB
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
22%
26%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
5 - 1
SHK
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEL
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
GOS
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
RAB
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
VOK
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |