KF Shkëndija vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
SHK
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 1
TIK
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 2
MAK
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
POB
74%
19%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
FKS
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 2
MAK
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |