KF Shkëndija vs FK Pobeda AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
12%
22%
67%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
RAB
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
POB
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
3 - 0
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
19%
28%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
POB
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |