KF Shkëndija vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
42
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
SHK
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
6 - 1
SIL
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 1
SHK
22%
27%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 1
BRE
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
RAB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
AKP
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
GOS
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
MAK
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
GOS
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |