KF Shkëndija vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 0
SHK
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 3
SHK
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
SHK
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 1
SHK
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SHK
31%
27%
41%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 0
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 2
BKM
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ARA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |