Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-0
KF Skënderbeu vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
KFS
1 - 3
TIR
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
KFS
2 - 2
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
KUK
2 - 0
KFS
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
KFS
1 - 0
TIR
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
TEU
0 - 1
KFS
21%
29%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SJU
0 - 1
UES
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
SJU
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SCO
1 - 1
SJU
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UES
1 - 2
SJU
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SJU
0 - 0
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |