KF Skënderbeu vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
9º
7º
8
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 63 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
17% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
KFS
3 - 2
VLZ
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
KFS
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VLZ
1 - 5
KFS
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 1
LAÇ
41%
30%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
KFS
64%
22%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 0
ETH
11%
14%
76%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
2 - 0
VOR
53%
21%
27%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 1
ELB
51%
21%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BYL
2 - 3
ELB
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |