Skeid vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FYL
3 - 2
SKE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SKE
2 - 4
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 3
SKE
55%
20%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
SKE
3 - 5
MOL
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SKE
1 - 3
BYA
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 0
LEV
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KRI
1 - 1
NAR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 1
BIL
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
AAL
2 - 3
NAR
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAR
6 - 0
KFU
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +3 |