SKChF Sevastopol vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
13º
6º
40
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 67 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 59 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 58 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 57 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 50 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 46 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 40 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 39 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
64.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 18 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKChF Sevastopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SKC
1 - 2
RUB
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
SKC
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SKC
0 - 0
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 2
SKC
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SKC
2 - 1
NCH
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
ROS
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 1
AST
22%
21%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AST
0 - 3
FOT
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
AST
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKS
0 - 2
AST
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |