SKA Khabarovsk II vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
14º
13º
35
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 20 |
15º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKA Khabarovsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
SKA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 3
KPP
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
SKA
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 0
FDV
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +6 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
SKA
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ORE
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
ZEN
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ZVE
34%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
ZEN
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 1
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |