SKA Khabarovsk II vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
55.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
14º
13º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 63 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 58 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKA Khabarovsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 1
SKA
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 0
SPA
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KPP
5 - 2
SKA
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 5
KHI
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FDV
5 - 0
SKA
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 3
ORE
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 2
ZVE
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 1
ARS
51%
23%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 2
KOL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |