Victoria Wanderers vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoria Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
MEL
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 3
GHA
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
0 - 0
GHA
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
10 - 0
MTA
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +4 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
PIE
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 3
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZEB
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 6
MAR
28%
23%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LIJ
38%
22%
39%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |