Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-3
Sigma Olomouc vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SIG
1 - 0
CHM
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
1 - 1
SIG
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SIG
0 - 0
SLI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 1
SIG
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
SIG
0 - 0
SLP
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ORA
2 - 0
SAR
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
SAR
4 - 0
POS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
ISK
2 - 2
SAR
21%
27%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
SAR
4 - 2
VEL
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |