Sigma Olomouc vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
8º
8º
7
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 58 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
32.5% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
51% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
VKP
2 - 1
SIG
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 2
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 2
MBO
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 0
SIG
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 1
TEP
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
DUK
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DUK
3 - 0
ESK
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HRA
1 - 0
DUK
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUK
0 - 2
JAB
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUK
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |