Petřín Plzeň vs Sokol Hostouň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
11º
7º
7
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 31 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 29 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 27 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 25 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 14 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 14 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 13 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 11 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petřín Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPP
0 - 2
FKD
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SPP
3 - 1
MOT
52%
22%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPP
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPP
1 - 0
TAB
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CBJ
2 - 2
SPP
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sokol Hostouň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 2
FCB
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
HOS
1 - 2
STC
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
HOS
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 1
VEL
12%
20%
69%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 0
HOS
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |