Ebbs vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
5º
5º
41
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 25 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 20 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 13 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 12 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 9 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 3
KIT
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 2
EBB
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EBB
0 - 0
WOR
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
EBB
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
VOL
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
5 - 1
FUG
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 4
WAT
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IAC
3 - 3
WAT
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
KUN
82%
13%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
STJ
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |