Ebbs vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
8º
6º
39
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
FUG
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 1
EBB
39%
22%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 2
EBB
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
1 - 0
FCV
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
WAT
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
WAT
37%
22%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |