Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
SK Brann vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
BBS
2 - 0
KON
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
NEC
1 - 1
BBS
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
BBS
0 - 2
MOS
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
BBS
4 - 0
LSK
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
NEC
1 - 1
BBS
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 3
RJC
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 2
GRO
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |